Betting on draws in football matches is one of the most popular strategies you will find. In this article, you will get the most important statistics on draws for the English premier league.

No time to read? Here are the key points of this article:

  • The Premier League has an overall average of 24% of matches results as a draw. This number has been somehow stable on the past seasons.
  • The week into the season don’t seem to have a relation with the chances of a draw match. We have pretty much the same amount of draws on the beginning and the end of the season.
  • Teams in the mid-table zone tend to have more chance of having draws.
  • There is clear relation between the points difference of the two teams playing and the chances of a draw. 29% of matches between “close” teams ended up in draws.
  • The number of draws a team had in the past does NOT help us predict if the team will draw in the future for the premier league.
  • Derbys INCREASE the chance of a draw.
  • Match odds around 3.2 for the draw result had 32% of actual draws.

At Stork Sports, we have the best content, predictions, and tips on football draws. You can subscribe here for FREE to get all the information you need to win with the draw strategy.
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You can also check our post on the draw statistics across the most important leagues here.


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You can also check these articles to learn more about this strategy:
– Premier League
– Brazil – Serie ABrazil – Serie B
– France Ligue 1France Ligue 2
– Russia Premier League
– Spain La LigaSpain La Liga 2


In order to analyze the draw patterns on the Premier League, we analyzed the occurrence of draws through different dimensions.
We checked how frequent draw matches occurred depending on the season, team, week, points difference between teams, draw rate on past matches, team rivalries, and the odds of each match.

We will try to keep this page as simples as possible as the numbers mostly speak for themselves!

Premier League Draws Over Time

The first questions we need to answer are:
– What is the percentage of matches that result in a draw on the premier league?
– Does this percentage change over time?
Since the 2004/2005 season, 24.9% of the premier league matches ended up tied.

The percentage (%) of draw matches varies over the seasons, the lowest percentage was recored in the 2018/19 season (19%) and the highest on the 2004/05 and 2010/11 seasons (29%).

Premier League Draws – weeks during the season

Does the occurrence of draw matches vary depending on the week the game is played? In other words, do matches at the beginning of the season have more draws then the matches at the end of the season?

There is almost no difference in the percentage of matches that end up tied depending on the week of the season. In the first 10 weeks (1-10) of the season, we have 26% of draw matches while at the end of the season (31-38) we have 24% of draw matches. A very small effect.

Premier League Draws – what teams draw matches the most?

We analyzed data from the 2004/05 season until the 2019/20 season. Here are the teams with the highest percentage of draw matches:

They are mostly mid to end of the table teams. To understand the relation between the team’s strength and the number of draws we can check the teams with most draws by season and their position on the table at the end of the season:

We can see that usually the top teams have fewer draws while mid of the table teams tend to have more draws.

Premier League Draws – points difference between home and away teams

When predicting a draw match the most straightforward statistics we could look in is the points difference between the two teams that are playing.
In order to measure if this is a good way to analyze a match we investigated how many draws happened depending on the points difference considering the last 20 matches of each team:

As expected the greatest the difference in points between the two teams the chance of a draw decreases. Team’s have about the same number of points have a higher chance of having a draw match.

Premier League Draws – do past draws help predict future draws?

Is there a pattern for draws in some teams? Do some teams have a higher chance of drawing because they had more draw games in the past?
To answer this we must compare the number of draws in the past games of a given team with the chance of drawing the next match. We did this for the past 5 and the past 20 matches of each team:

There is NO clear relation between past draws and the chances of the team having a draw match in the future.

Premier League Draws – Derbys and Rivalries

Derbys and rivalry matches are just different. We considered the following matches as Derbys: Arsenal x Chelsea, Tottenham x Arsenal, Chelsea x Tottenham, Manchester Utd x Manchester City, Liverpool x Manchester Utd, Everton x Liverpool.

The Derby matches had an average of 29.7% of draw matches against 24.7% of draws on regular matches.

Premier League Draws – What do the odds tell us?

The odds of a given result in a match can tell us a lot about what it is going to happen. Here are the outcome of matches relating to the odds of the draw before the match:

Betting on draws when the odds are around 3.2 is actually a winning strategy for the premier league.

Premier League Draws – What can we conclude?

  • The Premier League has an overall average of 24% of matches results as a draw. This number has been somehow stable on the past seasons.
  • The week into the season don’t seem to have a relation with the chances of a draw match. We have pretty much the same amount of draws on the beginning and the end of the season.
  • Teams in the mid-table zone tend to have more chance of having draws.
  • There is clear relation between the points difference of the two teams playing and the chances of a draw. 29% of matches between “close” teams ended up in draws.
  • The number of draws a team had in the past does NOT help us predict if the team will draw in the future for the premier league.
  • Derbys INCREASE the chance of a draw.
  • Match odds around 3.2 for the draw result had 32% of actual draws.

At Stork Sports, we have the best content, predictions, and tips on football draws. You can subscribe here for FREE to get all the information you need to win with the draw strategy.
FREE Draw Strategy List

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